Dugout Playoff Odds
Based on 5,000 sims of remaining season using log5 with xW%, ties broken randomly.
Team W L MaxW MaxL AvgW AvgL 1st % Div % PO % Last % rxSoS rSoS
Boston
BOS
 43 37 101 92 85.7 76.3 0.7% 18.0% 75.1% 0.0% 0.504 0.509
Chicago
CHW
 44 36 102 91 88.0 74.0 2.4% 34.6% 89.6% 0.0% 0.499 0.503
New York
NYM
 36 45 87 106 70.6 91.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 20.8% 0.510 0.516
Toronto
TOR
 47 32 106 88 89.2 72.8 4.2% 46.8% 92.3% 0.0% 0.510 0.517
Colorado
COL
 36 42 94 105 76.7 85.3 0.0% 0.6% 10.5% 2.2% 0.508 0.521
Cleveland
CLE
 36 45 93 102 74.5 87.5 0.0% 0.1% 4.3% 5.3% 0.508 0.507
Houston
HOU
 34 47 88 105 72.3 89.7 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 11.9% 0.508 0.500
New York
NYY
 42 39 102 95 83.1 78.9 0.3% 3.9% 53.6% 0.0% 0.505 0.515
San Diego
SD
 46 37 101 92 85.3 76.7 0.6% 9.3% 72.9% 0.0% 0.508 0.495
Vancouver
VAN
 48 32 110 86 93.8 68.2 21.6% 86.8% 99.0% 0.0% 0.508 0.509
Arizona
ARI
 39 43 94 100 77.2 84.8 0.0% 1.2% 11.3% 1.2% 0.506 0.491
Atlanta
ATL
 36 47 88 104 73.3 88.7 0.0% 0.1% 1.7% 7.6% 0.510 0.501
Milwaukee
MIL
 47 35 105 90 89.5 72.5 4.5% 71.8% 93.2% 0.0% 0.510 0.498
Pittsburgh
PIT
 38 43 97 98 79.5 82.5 0.0% 4.1% 24.7% 0.4% 0.510 0.504
Texas
TEX
 42 39 101 93 84.7 77.3 0.3% 22.7% 69.8% 0.0% 0.502 0.492
Chicago
CHC
 44 37 105 88 88.9 73.1 3.5% 60.9% 96.2% 0.0% 0.485 0.477
Kansas City
KC
 43 37 101 94 84.3 77.7 0.2% 18.0% 80.6% 0.0% 0.494 0.494
St. Louis
STL
 37 42 93 101 77.8 84.2 0.0% 2.1% 27.4% 1.1% 0.498 0.505
Washington
WAS
 42 40 102 93 84.1 77.9 0.2% 17.7% 79.8% 0.0% 0.492 0.490
Montreal
MON
 39 43 96 100 76.8 85.2 0.0% 1.2% 19.7% 1.2% 0.503 0.510
Miami
MIA
 45 35 103 92 88.3 73.7 3.0% 8.9% 96.0% 0.0% 0.484 0.484
Los Angeles
LAD
 33 45 86 107 71.2 90.8 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 17.2% 0.503 0.515
Oakland
OAK
 35 45 90 105 74.4 87.6 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 5.3% 0.494 0.505
Seattle
SEA
 51 29 112 80 97.3 64.7 57.8% 91.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.487 0.484
San Francisco
SF
 37 42 94 102 76.5 85.5 0.0% 0.1% 19.0% 2.0% 0.500 0.509
Detroit
DET
 36 44 89 109 72.8 89.2 0.0% 1.7% 5.5% 10.0% 0.498 0.494
Anaheim
LAA
 34 46 89 105 73.9 88.1 0.0% 2.1% 7.7% 6.7% 0.490 0.485
Minnesota
MIN
 44 38 100 95 84.6 77.4 0.4% 61.5% 83.9% 0.0% 0.495 0.496
Philadelphia
PHI
 41 41 99 96 82.0 80.0 0.1% 33.2% 65.5% 0.1% 0.487 0.481
Tampa Bay
TBA
 35 47 89 105 73.5 88.5 0.0% 1.5% 7.0% 7.0% 0.494 0.488